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Clinton and Trump courting Ohio voters on Labor Day

06 September 2025

The analysis considers preference polling, recent electoral history, demographic trends and campaign priorities such as advertising, travel and on-the-ground staff.

Comparing polls from the same organizations over recent weeks shows that Clinton's numbers are nearly universally down, in some cases by noteworthy amounts.

You have probably seen a number of predictions, as we look at a USA electoral vote map, supposedly showing how impossible it is for Donald Trump to win the presidency.

"The polls are close so Crooked Hillary is getting out of bed and will campaign tomorrow", Trump taunted Sunday on Twitter. Clinton will travel to Cleveland and IL for Labor Day events.

On August 8, that poll showed Clinton at 50 percent, Trump at 37 percent and all other candidates an undecided at 13 percent. Obama won the national popular vote by about four points.

The newspaper's editorial board has traditionally endorsed Republican candidates - siding with Mitt Romney in 2012 and John McCain in 2008 - but opted to go this year with Johnson, the former Republican governor of New Mexico.

Clinton has questioned Trump's temperament and preparation to serve as commander in chief while seeking to connect the reality television star to the extreme "alt-right" movement within the Republican Party.

An IBD/TIPP poll from August 5 has Clinton by 7. HuffPost Pollster's model, which aggregates publicly available polling, now gives her a lead of about 5 points in a head-to-head race nationally, down from more than 8 points at the height of her post-DNC bounce.

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Both Hillary Clinton and Trump are expected to be frequent visitors to battleground OH over the next two months. A Marquette University Law School poll showed a tightening race in Wisconsin.

Meanwhile, Trump's campaign told the AP it's taking early voting seriously, and plans to open 24 more field offices on top of the 133 it now has.

Donald Trump, meanwhile, jetted down to Mexico and softened his tone on immigration, hardened it right back up again at a rally in Arizona and launched an worldwide Twitter war with the Mexican president he had just met.

The big victor was Johnson/Stein/Other, a voter group that saw its percentage increase 6 points.

Bernie Sanders said the polling requirements for third-party candidates to participate in the fall debates should be reconsidered.

Registered voters who favor Johnson and Stein have a pretty specific profile. According to HuffPost's predictive Senate model, the Democrats now have a 62 percent chance of winning 50 or more seats in the Senate. The most recent polls indicate Trump continues to struggle to attract minority supporters.

The visits will compete for attention with speeches by Democratic presidential nominee Hillary Clinton and her running mate, Sen. That doesn't mean Clinton will win those voters, but it looks like she going to make a play for them - and at least try to end her late summer mini swoon.